transportation:comets
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| + | == Most Carbon-Rich Asteroids Never Make It to Earth—and Now We Know Why == | ||
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| + | A study of thousands of space rocks may explain why a common type in space is so uncommon on our planet. | ||
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| + | Isaac Schultz - April 14, 2025 | ||
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| + | Earth’s meteorite collection just got called out for being a little biased—and what’s more, a team of astronomers pinpointed exactly why that bias occurs. | ||
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| + | Carbonaceous asteroids are all over our solar system, both in the main belt and closer to Earth. But very few of the carbon-rich rocks are actually found on Earth, comprising just 4% of the meteorites recovered on our planet’s surface. | ||
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| + | The astronomical team wanted to understand what causes the discrepancy. Their findings, published today in Nature Astronomy, indicate that carbon asteroids get obliterated by the Sun and Earth’s atmosphere before they can make it to ground. | ||
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| + | “We’ve long suspected weak, carbonaceous material doesn’t survive atmospheric entry,” said Hadrien Devillepoix, | ||
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| + | == There' | ||
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| + | Very unlikely, but could make for a neat light show if it does | ||
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| + | Richard Speed - Mon 17 Feb 2025 14:31 UTC | ||
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| + | There is a chance, albeit slim, that asteroid 2024 YR4 could hit the Moon, creating a new crater and an explosion that might just be visible from Earth. | ||
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| + | The possibility was floated by space boffins in a New Scientist article, and would leave the Moon with a crater measuring anywhere from 500 to 2,000 meters across. The Moon lacks the Earth' | ||
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| + | According to the discussion, this would result in "an explosion 343 times more powerful than the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima." | ||
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| + | Readers of a certain vintage may remember the 1970s British science-fiction television series Space 1999, in which the Moon is knocked out of orbit after nuclear waste stored on its far side explodes. The result of an impact of 2024 YR4 will not have anywhere near the same dire consequences, | ||
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| + | == Space rock 2024 YR4 still has 2.4% shot at smacking Earth == | ||
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| + | Scientists refine estimates, but can't yet rule out an impact | ||
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| + | Richard Speed - Tue 18 Feb 2025 16:15 UTC | ||
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| + | The latest figures from the European Space Agency (ESA) on the trajectory of asteroid 2024 YR4 show a reduction in uncertainty around the object' | ||
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| + | The estimates from ESA's Near-Earth Object Coordination Centre show a marked reduction in close approach uncertainty based on observations made up to February 17. | ||
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| + | The probability of Earth impact remains at 2.4 percent, and the estimated size of the asteroid is still anywhere from 40 to 90 meters. However, the close approach uncertainty – a range of trajectories that the asteroid could be on – has narrowed as observations continue. | ||
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| + | The Earth remains in the risk corridor for now, but as uncertainty is whittled away, the probability of impact will likely eventually decrease and reach zero, although it might initially grow as the corridor narrows. | ||
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| + | == The odds of a city-killer asteroid impact in 2032 keep rising. Should we be worried? == | ||
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| + | Eric Berger – Feb 19, 2025 6:36 AM | ||
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| + | An asteroid discovered late last year is continuing to stir public interest as its odds of striking planet Earth less than eight years from now continue to increase. | ||
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| + | Two weeks ago, when Ars first wrote about the asteroid, designated 2024 YR4, NASA's Center for Near Earth Object Studies estimated a 1.9 percent chance of an impact with Earth in 2032. NASA's most recent estimate has the likelihood of a strike increasing to 3.2 percent. Now that's not particularly high, but it's also not zero. | ||
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| + | Naturally the prospect of a large ball of rock tens of meters across striking the planet is a little worrisome. This is large enough to cause localized devastation near its impact site, likely on the order of the Tunguska event of 1908, which leveled some 500 square miles (1,287 square kilometers) of forest in remote Siberia. | ||
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| + | To understand why the odds from NASA are changing and whether we should be concerned about 2024 YR4, Ars connected with Robin George Andrews, author of the recently published book How to Kill an Asteroid. Good timing with the publication date, eh? | ||
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| + | == Odds of city-killer asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth creep upward == | ||
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| + | It's probably fine | ||
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| + | Richard Speed - Wed 19 Feb 2025 13:45 UTC | ||
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| + | As the risk corridor narrows for asteroid 2024 YR4, the possibility of a collision with Earth in 2032 have increased. | ||
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| + | NASA has upped the chances to 3.1 percent, while the European Space Agency (ESA) now estimates it's 2.8 percent. This was expected as the close-approach uncertainty narrowed with further observations. The threat will be recalculated as possible trajectories are ruled out and the risk corridor shrinks. | ||
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| + | Crucially, time is growing short. By April, the city-killing asteroid will no longer be viewable by most telescopes, making it impossible for scientists to refine the object' | ||
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| + | Although the probability of collision is still very small, and observatories such as the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) are being pressed into service to refine estimates of the size and mass of the asteroid, space agencies will no doubt ponder how best to deflect it should the worst-case scenario – a high-energy impact – become more likely. | ||
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| + | == NASA says 'City killer' | ||
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| + | NASA data released Tuesday said there is now a 3.1 percent chance a " | ||
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| + | 18/02/2025 20:33 / Modified 18/02/2025 21:17 - France24 | ||
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| + | An asteroid that could level a city now has a 3.1-percent chance of striking Earth in 2032, according to NASA data released on Tuesday, making it the most threatening space rock ever recorded by modern forecasting. | ||
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| + | But, despite the rising odds, experts say there is no need for alarm. The global astronomical community is closely monitoring the situation and the James Webb Space Telescope is set to fix its gaze on the object, known as 2024 YR4, next month. | ||
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| + | == NASA Makes Big Update to Asteroid Potentially on Collision Course With Earth in 2032 == | ||
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| + | 2024 YR4 turned heads when it became the most dangerously rated asteroid earlier this week. | ||
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| + | Isaac Schultz - February 20, 2025 | ||
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| + | The potentially hazardous asteroid 2024 YR4 caused consternation over the last few weeks as its odds of hitting Earth in 2032 dramatically rose. Now, those odds have plummeted to near-zero, as astronomers’ calculations of the asteroid’s path have been updated to indicate that Earth is almost certainly not in the space rock’s plans. | ||
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| + | Almost. According to NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS), the asteroid’s current chance of hitting the planet in 2032 is 0.28%, or a 1-in-360 shot. That is a far cry from just earlier this week, when models had the asteroid’s impact probability at a staggering 3.1%, or 1-in-32 odds. It’s safe to say we’re out of the woods—but perhaps still in the backyard of uncertainty? | ||
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| + | == Earth Is Safe From Menacing Asteroid—but Our Moon Might Take the Hit == | ||
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| + | New Webb Telescope data confirms that asteroid 2024 YR4 poses no threat to Earth during its 2032 flyby. As for the Moon, not so much. | ||
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| + | Passant Rabie - April 1, 2025 | ||
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| + | An asteroid is headed toward a close approach to Earth on December 22, 2032. But fear not, the Webb Space Telescope just re-confirmed that asteroid 2024 YR4 has a nearly 0% probability of crashing into Earth. That said, astronomers are unable to rule out a possible impact with the Moon. | ||
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| + | The Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) in Chile discovered the asteroid on December 27, 2024. Shortly after its discovery, asteroid 2024 YR4 was deemed potentially hazardous, with the odds of it striking Earth reaching nearly 3%. Those odds aren’t massive, but when it comes to the potential threat of a city-killer asteroid, ideally you want them to be closer to a zero-chance probability. On February 20, NASA removed 2024 YR4 from its naughty list after calculations showed that the asteroid had a near-zero chance of hitting Earth. | ||
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| + | Phew. The news gets even better—new observations from Webb double down on the confirmation: | ||
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| + | == NASA doubles odds of Moon hitting near-Earth asteroid == | ||
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| + | Heads up to those living on lunar base in 2032: DUCK!! | ||
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| + | Iain Thomson - Sat 5 Apr 2025 07:18 UTC | ||
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| + | The likelihood of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting the Moon, during Christmas 2032, has more than doubled. | ||
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| + | The space rock made headlines in February when it was said to be the most dangerous object of its kind in the Solar System to Earth. Sadly, the chance of it whacking our home world was cut to 0.004 percent following further observations. Now scientists reckon there' | ||
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| + | " | ||
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| + | "There is still a 96.2 percent chance that the asteroid will miss the Moon. In the small chance that the asteroid were to impact, it would not alter the Moon’s orbit." | ||
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| + | The asteroid was spotted by an automatic telescope on Christmas Day last year, and its potential to smash into Earth was figured out a few days later. After its orbit was further studied, NASA suggested the Moon could also get in its way, at first estimating the chance of lunar impact at 0.3 percent. | ||
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| + | == Rising odds asteroid that briefly threatened Earth will hit moon == | ||
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| + | The GIST - April 3, 2025 | ||
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| + | Scientists are now hoping that the asteroid will smash into the Moon. | ||
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| + | A huge asteroid that was briefly feared to strike Earth now has a nearly 4% chance of smashing into the moon, according to new data from the James Webb Space Telescope. | ||
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| + | The asteroid, thought to be capable of leveling a city, set a new record in February for having the highest chance—3.1%—of hitting our home planet than scientists have ever measured. | ||
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| + | Earth' | ||
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| + | But the odds that it will instead crash into Earth' | ||
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| + | After the Webb telescope turned its powerful gaze towards the asteroid last month, the chance of a moon shot is now at 3.8%, NASA said. | ||
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| + | "There is still a 96.2% chance that the asteroid will miss the moon," NASA said in a statement on Thursday. | ||
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| + | Richard Moissl, head of the European Space Agency' | ||
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| + | https:// | ||
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| + | == Asteroid With 3.8% Chance of Hitting the Moon Originated From an Unusual Spot == | ||
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| + | Astronomers have traced the origin of asteroid 2024 YR4, which appears to have broken off from a larger space rock. | ||
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| + | Passant Rabie - April 9, 2025 | ||
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| + | A newly discovered asteroid is on track for a close brush with Earth—and it might even slam into the Moon. Recently, astronomers got a closer look at the giant space rock, revealing its violent origin story. | ||
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| + | Using the Keck Observatory on Maunakea, Hawaiʻi Island, a team of astronomers was able to identify the physical properties of asteroid 2024 YR4 and uncover its potential origin. The menacing asteroid may have broken off from a larger space rock following a collision. It also likely originated from an asteroid family in the main asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter—an unlikely place for Earth-crossing asteroids to come from. | ||
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| + | “The shape of the asteroid provides us with clues as to how it formed, and what its structural integrity is,” Bryce Bolin, research scientist with Eureka Scientific, said in a statement. “Knowing these properties is crucial for determining how much effort or what kind of technique needs to be used to deflect the asteroid if it is deemed a threat.” This research is set for publication in The Astrophysical Journal Letters. | ||
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| + | == NASA Raises Odds of Asteroid Smacking the Moon in 2032 == | ||
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| + | Asteroid 2024 YR4, which previously posed the highest impact risk to Earth ever recorded, has now been assessed a slightly higher chance of slamming into the Moon in seven years. | ||
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| + | Ellyn Lapointe - June 10, 2025 | ||
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| + | The odds of an asteroid the size of a 10-story building slamming into the Moon in 2032 have risen slightly, according to NASA. On June 5, the agency announced that Asteroid 2024 YR4 now has a 4.3% chance of lunar impact—up from 3.8%. | ||
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| + | This infamous space rock caused quite a stir earlier this year when initial data suggested it could collide with Earth in about eight years. But as scientists gathered more data, it became clear that this asteroid posed no threat to our planet. There’s still a chance, however, that 2024 YR4 could hit the Moon. New observations from the James Webb Space Telescope allowed scientists to refine the asteroid’s orbit, leading to this tiny increase in the odds of a lunar impact. | ||
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| + | “As data comes in, it is normal for the impact probability to evolve,” NASA’s announcement states. | ||
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| + | When the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) in Chile first discovered 2024 YR4 in December 2024, NASA flagged it as a potentially hazardous object almost immediately. Initial calculations indicated that this asteroid had about a 1% chance of hitting Earth on December 22, 2032. Over the next few weeks, those odds alarmingly climbed to nearly 3% before ultimately settling back down to zero by late February. | ||
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| + | == Probability of Asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting the Moon increases == | ||
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| + | Scientists improve knowledge by 20% thanks to James Webb Space Telescope data | ||
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| + | Richard Speed - Tue 10 Jun 2025 17:45 UTC | ||
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| + | The chance of Asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting the Moon has increased, according to boffins making observations from the James Webb Space Telescope. | ||
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| + | NASA said data from the telescope " | ||
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| + | When Asteroid 2024 YR4 was detected, scientists reckoned it had a 1 in 100 chance of colliding with the Earth in 2032. As the weeks passed, and more measurements of the asteroid' | ||
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| + | However, there remains a risk, albeit small, that it might smack into the Moon. In April, NASA put the probability at 3.8 percent. Experts from NASA's Center for Near-Earth Object Studies at the agency' | ||
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| + | According to NASA, "An international team led by Dr Andy Rivkin from the Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory in Laurel, Maryland, made the observations using Webb's Near-Infrared Camera in May." | ||
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| + | == An Asteroid Could Smash Into the Moon in 2032. Here’s Why We Should Destroy It == | ||
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| + | Asteroid 2024 YR4 currently has a 4% chance of smashing into the Moon in about seven years. Astronomers are already working out ways to prevent a potential impact. | ||
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| + | Ellyn Lapointe - September 21, 2025 | ||
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| + | Asteroid 2024 YR4 garnered global attention last year when astronomers estimated it could hit Earth in 2032. Though they have since ruled out that possibility, | ||
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| + | Those are pretty slim odds, but on the off chance 2024 YR4 does end up on a collision course with the Moon, the scientific community needs to be prepared. Astronomers have found evidence to suggest that a lunar impact could eject an enormous amount of micrometeoroid debris into low-Earth orbit, potentially endangering spacecraft and astronauts aboard the International Space Station. | ||
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| + | A new study by researchers from NASA and several other U.S. institutions lays out our options for avoiding this worst-case scenario. In the paper—submitted to the Journal of the Astronautical Sciences for peer review and made available on the preprint server arXiv—the authors assess multiple strategies for deflecting or destroying the asteroid before it can slam into the lunar surface. Their conclusion? It looks like blowing it up would be our best bet. | ||
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| + | ===== Chesapeake Bay (35M years ago) ===== | ||
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| + | == Evidence of Ancient Asteroid Impact and Tsunami Found in North Carolina == | ||
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| + | An asteroid that struck Chesapeake Bay 35 million years ago left a long trail of destruction in its wake, new research suggests. | ||
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| + | Passant Rabie - September 13, 2025 | ||
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| + | Around 35 million years ago, a small asteroid traveling at 40,000 miles per hour (64,373 kilometers per hour) struck Earth, crashing into the Atlantic Ocean near the modern-day town of Cape Charles, Virginia. The approximately 3-mile-wide (5-kilometer) object created a large impact crater that’s buried half a mile beneath Chesapeake Bay. Hundreds of miles south of the crater, scientists have found new evidence of the asteroid impact and the tsunami that followed the shattering event. | ||
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| + | Hidden beneath the waters of the Chesapeake, the impact crater in Virginia is among the largest and most preserved craters found on Earth. The Chesapeake Bay crater was first discovered in 1990, and scientists are still trying to piece together the trail of destruction left by the asteroid. A team of geologists investigating fossils in Moore County, North Carolina, uncovered layers of rock they determined were forged by the asteroid impact and the tsunami that followed. | ||
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| + | In a recently published study in Southeastern Geology, scientists document the far-reaching impact of the asteroid collision, detailing the discovery of a site found approximately 240 miles (386 km) away from the Virginia crater in the Sandhills of North Carolina. | ||
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| - | ===== Defense ===== | + | ===== Defense |
| == This Nonprofit Wants to Catapult Material From Incoming Asteroids to Protect Earth == | == This Nonprofit Wants to Catapult Material From Incoming Asteroids to Protect Earth == | ||
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| + | == Deflecting a Killer Asteroid Is More Complicated Than NASA Thought == | ||
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| + | Scientists still have much to learn about the potentially life-saving " | ||
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| + | Ellyn Lapointe - July 11, 2025 | ||
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| + | In 2022, NASA rammed a spacecraft into an asteroid to see if it could alter its orbital period around its parent asteroid. The mission, dubbed the Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART), aimed to determine whether humanity could theoretically save itself from a catastrophic asteroid impact. | ||
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| + | DART collided with Dimorphos, a small moonlet orbiting a larger asteroid called Didymos, on September 26, 2022. The results of the impact blew NASA’s expectations out of the water, shortening Dimorphos’s orbital period by 32 minutes. Such a change would be more than enough to deflect a dangerous asteroid away from Earth, indicating that this strategy—the kinetic impactor technique—could save us if necessary. New research, however, complicates this success story. An investigation into the debris DART left behind suggests this technique, when applied to planetary defense, isn’t as straightforward as scientists initially thought. | ||
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| + | “We succeeded in deflecting an asteroid, moving it from its orbit,” said study lead author Tony Farnham, a research astronomer at the University of Maryland, in a statement. “Our research shows that while the direct impact of the DART spacecraft caused this change, the boulders ejected gave an additional kick that was almost as big. That additional factor changes the physics we need to consider when planning these types of missions.” Farnham and his colleagues published their findings in The Planetary Science Journal on July 4. | ||
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| + | == Remember That Asteroid NASA Deflected in a Test of Saving Earth? We Have Bad News == | ||
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| + | Jul 11, 8:57 AM EDT - Victor Tangermann | ||
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| + | In late 2022, NASA celebrated its Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) as a massive success, a proof of concept for saving humanity in case a similar space rock were to ever head straight for Earth. | ||
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| + | The small spacecraft smashed into asteroid Didymos' | ||
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| + | But three years later, astronomers found that the collision had some unintended consequences. As detailed in a paper published last week in the Planetary Science Journal, a team led by the University of Maryland found that the DART spacecraft ejected a massive barrage of boulders, some of which carried more than three times the energy of the spacecraft itself. | ||
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| + | "We succeeded in deflecting an asteroid, moving it from its orbit," | ||
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| + | The researchers warn that much like a game of pool, smashing a spacecraft into an asteroid to save the Earth could set off a powerful sequence of events that needs to be taken into account. | ||
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| + | "That additional factor changes the physics we need to consider when planning these types of missions," | ||
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| + | ===== Venus ===== | ||
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| + | == Undetected, Dangerous Asteroids Could Be Lurking in Venus’s Orbit == | ||
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| + | A new study warns of an undiscovered population of asteroids that could strike Earth with little to no warning. | ||
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| + | Passant Rabie - September 26, 2025 | ||
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| + | Space can be a dangerous place, with massive rocks hurling through the solar system at fast speeds, some of which may be headed in our direction. NASA and other agencies keep a close watch on the skies, on the lookout for potentially hazardous asteroids that threaten Earth. As it turns out, however, a unique group of potentially problematic asteroids may be hiding in plain sight. | ||
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| + | A group of researchers are warning of the potential threat of asteroids that share the orbit of Venus, circling the Sun at a close distance to Earth—but they’re practically invisible to our current observational tactics. In a recent study published in the Astronomy & Astrophysics journal, scientists reveal a population of potentially dangerous asteroids, which would appear in telescopic observations around two weeks before a potential impact on Earth. | ||
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| + | == Sugars, ‘Gum,’ Stardust Found in NASA’s Asteroid Bennu Samples == | ||
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| + | Abby Tabor & Aaron L. Gronstal & Erin Morton & Rachel Barry - Dec 02, 2025 | ||
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| + | The asteroid Bennu continues to provide new clues to scientists’ biggest questions about the formation of the early solar system and the origins of life. As part of the ongoing study of pristine samples delivered to Earth by NASA’s OSIRIS-REx (Origins, Spectral Interpretation, | ||
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| + | Sugars essential to life | ||
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| + | Scientists led by Yoshihiro Furukawa of Tohoku University in Japan found sugars essential for biology on Earth in the Bennu samples, detailing their findings in the journal Nature Geoscience. The five-carbon sugar ribose and, for the first time in an extraterrestrial sample, six-carbon glucose were found. Although these sugars are not evidence of life, their detection, along with previous detections of amino acids, nucleobases, | ||
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| + | For life on Earth, the sugars deoxyribose and ribose are key building blocks of DNA and RNA, respectively. DNA is the primary carrier of genetic information in cells. RNA performs numerous functions, and life as we know it could not exist without it. Ribose in RNA is used in the molecule’s sugar-phosphate “backbone” that connects a string of information-carrying nucleobases. | ||
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| + | https:// | ||
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| + | == Sugars, ' | ||
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| + | Posted by BeauHD on Thursday December 04, 2025 11:07PM | ||
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| + | NASA's OSIRIS-REx samples from asteroid Bennu have revealed bio-essential sugars, a never-before-seen "space gum" polymer, and unusually high levels of supernova-origin dust. The findings bolster the RNA-world hypothesis, suggest complex organics formed early on Bennu' | ||
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| + | "All five nucleobases used to construct both DNA and RNA, along with phosphates, have already been found in the Bennu samples brought to Earth by OSIRIS-REx," | ||
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| + | The findings have been published in three new papers by the journals Nature Geosciences and Nature Astronomy. NASA also published a video on YouTube detailing the discovery. | ||
| + | https:// | ||
transportation/comets.1739235299.txt.gz · Last modified: by timb
